Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.001406 0.001498 0.001592 0.001697 0.001809 0.001927 0.002061
2024-10-06 0.001270 0.001395 0.001527 0.001680 0.001852 0.002039 0.002258
2024-10-13 0.001180 0.001326 0.001488 0.001679 0.001900 0.002149 0.002451
2024-10-20 0.001088 0.001248 0.001427 0.001644 0.001903 0.002201 0.002574
2024-10-27 0.001029 0.001200 0.001396 0.001639 0.001935 0.002285 0.002733
2024-11-03 0.000951 0.001125 0.001328 0.001584 0.001902 0.002285 0.002787
2024-11-10 0.000919 0.001102 0.001319 0.001599 0.001952 0.002387 0.002969
2024-11-17 0.000876 0.001063 0.001289 0.001584 0.001963 0.002438 0.003087
2024-11-24 0.000851 0.001046 0.001283 0.001598 0.002009 0.002535 0.003268
2024-12-01 0.000810 0.001005 0.001246 0.001570 0.002000 0.002557 0.003348
2024-12-08 0.000778 0.000975 0.001221 0.001556 0.002006 0.002598 0.003454
2024-12-15 0.000747 0.000944 0.001194 0.001537 0.002005 0.002630 0.003548
2024-12-22 0.000722 0.000923 0.001180 0.001540 0.002037 0.002714 0.003726
2024-12-29 0.000694 0.000895 0.001157 0.001527 0.002048 0.002769 0.003867
2025-01-05 0.000671 0.000875 0.001143 0.001527 0.002075 0.002847 0.004046
2025-01-12 0.000640 0.000841 0.001108 0.001496 0.002058 0.002859 0.004126
2025-01-19 0.000619 0.000821 0.001093 0.001492 0.002077 0.002925 0.004289
2025-01-26 0.000585 0.000782 0.001048 0.001443 0.002028 0.002887 0.004290
2025-02-02 0.000574 0.000773 0.001046 0.001456 0.002072 0.002990 0.004516
2025-02-09 0.000555 0.000753 0.001027 0.001443 0.002075 0.003030 0.004643
2025-02-16 0.000545 0.000745 0.001025 0.001455 0.002117 0.003133 0.004877
2025-02-23 0.000524 0.000722 0.001000 0.001430 0.002101 0.003142 0.004955
2025-03-02 0.000508 0.000704 0.000982 0.001417 0.002102 0.003178 0.005080